Hurricane Michael European Model Shows Storm Intensifying

Cristina Cross
October 10, 2018

Hurricane Michael has been upgraded to a Category 3 major hurricane as of the National Hurricane Center's 5 p.m. Tuesday advisory.

He said a National Weather Service forecast of a storm surge of eight to 12 feet is "absolutely deadly" and could swamp homes along a seven-county swath of rural Florida stretching for about 220 miles, from Gulf County to Cedar Key in Levy County. The designation means tropical storm force winds (39 to 73 mph) are expected in the area within 48 hours. "But water levels in some parts of the Northeast Florida coast will still be high enough to overwhelm the dunes, which are relatively low and narrow".

"If you decide to stay in your home and a tree falls on your house or the storm surge catches you and you're now calling for help, there's no one that can respond to help you", Morgan said at a news conference. "That's the criticality of following directions".

Florida Gov. Rick Scott warned that the "monstrous hurricane" was just hours away, and his Democratic opponent for the Senate, Sen.

Shannon remembers how previous hurricanes knocked out power in Florida's capital city, so he knows what's possible with Michael.

"If you're responsible for a patient, you're responsible for the patient. Do not think you can survive it", Scott said. It's as simple as that.

"While 11 counties have already issued evacuation orders, it is expected that even more local governments in the area of the emergency declaration will consider closing offices and issuing evacuation orders on Tuesday in anticipation of the hurricane's landfall, also affecting the ability of these individuals to register", Rizzo said in a statement.

Currently, the bulk of the forecast model guidance has the storm tracking southeast of the Maritimes, as well as Newfoundland this weekend. "This storm will be life-threatening and extremely unsafe".

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"Guess what? That's today", National Hurricane Center Director Ken Graham said. "This storm has the potential to bring devastating impacts to communities across the Panhandle and Big Bend and every family must be prepared".

It made landfall on the coast as a Category 1 hurricane on Sep 14 and drenched some parts of the state with 40 inches of rain. The center of Michael is expected to move inland over the Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on Wednesday. Some southern Alabama counties were under a tropical storm watch Monday afternoon.

"Urgent warning about the rapid rise of water on the SW FL coast with the passage of #Irma's eye". "We're going to get storm surge, we have wind, we have a chance of flooding, we have a significant chance of tornadoes".

A hurricane warning is in effect for Florida cities including Tallahassee, Panama City, Apalachicola and Pensacola. Some of Michael's moisture will be drawn northward, meaning periods of rain for us Thursday.

Though the Midlands area is not expecting hurricane-force winds, the Columbia area could experience a harder impact than it did during Hurricane Florence, forecasters said Tuesday. According to the hurricane center, hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center of Michael, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles. The storm was centered about 390 miles (627 kilometers) south of Apalachicola and 420 miles (675 kilometers) south of Panama City, Florida. Forecasters predict the storm will bring torrential rains and winds of upwards of 120 miles per hour.

Life-threatening storm surge is forecast along portions of the Florida Gulf Coast regardless of the storm's exact track or intensity.

A hurricane warning has been issued for the Alabama-Florida border to the Suwannee River, and a hurricane watch is in effect from the Alabama-Florida border to the Mississippi-Alabama border.

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